F1 2004 - Predictions:
The 2004 Formula 1 season gets under way in less than 30 minutes, with the start of the Australian Grand Prix. The 18-race season promises to be one of the liveliest in recent years, highlights include: two new tracks, a score of rookie drivers, a field of the most closely matched teams seen in recent years, the removal of launch control and full-automatic gearboxes. Ready your torches and pitchforks as I offer my predictions for the season.
Driver’s Championship
Michael Schumacher will again lift the driver’s title — not by the skin of his teeth either, expect a 15-30 point margin. You heard me! The German ace may be in the home-stretch of his career, but he remains extremely competitive. In Schumi’s favour: he is the most experienced driver on the track; quite possibly the hardest working too; the expertise of Ross Brawn and Rory Byrne.
The real action will be in the battle for second place. Montoya will have to fight off a strong challenge from Barrichello. If McLaren can find the performance, Raikkonen will feature here too.
As for the rest, expect strong showings from Jensen Button and Mark Webber, the Australian looks more competitive than I’ve previously given him credit. Ralf Schumacher may be in there too if he can ever get it — and hold it — together. I think Alonso’s not really all there yet, and may be over-hyped in any case.
Constructor’s Championship
Ferrari, Ferrari, Ferrari. I know you don’t want to hear it, but with two first-class drivers and superb reliability how can they do anything but take the most points. Second will go to Williams or Renault. McLaren may challenge for third IF they can deliver a car for the young Finn to work with. BAR will beat out the likes of Sauber, Jaguar, and Toyota.
There you have it. Flame away. Eric, for your own health I hope you’ll be able to catch the proceedings somehow: after 5 months of inaction, missing a race might just kill ya.
